BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Mt St Mary's

Class: 1 Class Rank: 288 Overall: (14-17) Overall Strength =   18.21
Conference: Metro Atlantic Record: (11-11) | District: 1-02 Record: (14-15)

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-09-2023 Away    L     8.04  39  58    1 229 ( 15- 16) Howard                -10.17     -8.83                      
  2 11-15-2023 Away    W    27.10  67  59 1  1 306 ( 14- 17) Navy                    8.89     -0.89                      
  3 11-18-2023 Home    L    13.11  47  52    1 259 (  7- 19) Cornell                -5.10      0.10                      
  4 11-22-2023 Away    W    31.01  64  50    1 325 ( 14- 17) F Dickinson            12.80      1.20                      
  5 11-29-2023 Away    L     9.08  52  69    1 235 ( 15- 15) MD E Shore             -9.13     -7.87                      
  6 12-02-2023 Away    L     1.91  42  63    1 265 ( 16- 15) Loyola MD             -16.30     -4.70                      
  7 12-05-2023 Home    W    25.95  55  46    1 271 ( 13- 18) Bucknell                7.74      1.26                      
  8 12-09-2023 Home    L    -6.28  30  77    1  66 ( 23-  8) George Mason          -24.48    -22.52                      
  9 12-16-2023 Away    L *  22.17  44  62    1 105 ( 31-  2) Fairfield               3.97    -21.97                      
 10 12-18-2023 Home    L *  18.02  55  61    1 206 ( 18- 12) Siena                  -0.19     -5.81                      
 11 12-22-2023 Away    L    -2.16  34  87    1  49 ( 21- 12) TCU                   -20.37 *  -32.63                      
 12 01-04-2024 Away    L *  10.38  49  62    1 260 ( 17- 14) Canisius               -7.83     -5.17                      
 13 01-06-2024 Away    L *  18.13  61  72    1 209 ( 21- 14) Niagara                -0.08    -10.92                      
 14 01-11-2024 Home    W *  21.99  56  50    1 281 ( 13- 18) Qunnipiac               3.78      2.22                      
 15 01-18-2024 Home    L *  10.39  44  45    1 331 (  6- 25) Marist                 -7.82      6.82                      
 16 01-20-2024 Away    W *  22.63  60  53    1 336 ( 10- 21) Rider                   4.42      2.58                      
 17 01-25-2024 Away    W *  15.53  52  49    1 349 (  7- 23) St Peter's             -2.68      5.68                      
 18 01-27-2024 Home    L *   6.84  63  80    1 209 ( 21- 14) Niagara               -11.37     -5.63                      
 19 02-01-2024 Home    W *  20.41  55  48    1 313 ( 11- 19) Ioan                    2.20      4.80                      
 20 02-03-2024 Away    L *  17.14  60  67    1 256 ( 18- 12) Manhattan              -1.07     -5.93                      
 21 02-08-2024 Home    W *  31.33  64  43    1 336 ( 10- 21) Rider                  13.13      7.87                      
 22 02-10-2024 Home    W *  32.09  70  56    1 260 ( 17- 14) Canisius               13.88      0.12                      
 23 02-15-2024 Away    W *  30.28  54  45    1 281 ( 13- 18) Qunnipiac              12.07     -3.07                      
 24 02-17-2024 Home    L *  32.88  59  61    1 105 ( 31-  2) Fairfield              14.67    -16.67                      
 25 02-22-2024 Away    W *  31.68  72  57    1 331 (  6- 25) Marist                 13.48      1.52                      
 26 02-24-2024 Away    L *  12.70  56  62    1 313 ( 11- 19) Ioan                   -5.50     -0.50                      
 27 02-29-2024 Home    W *  33.85  58  43    1 256 ( 18- 12) Manhattan              15.64     -0.64                      
 28 03-02-2024 Away    L *  20.31  56  65    1 206 ( 18- 12) Siena                   2.10    -11.10                      
 29 03-09-2024 Home    W *  17.23  56  46    1 349 (  7- 23) St Peter's             -0.98     10.98                      
 30 03-12-2024 Neutral W *  27.04  60  47    1 331 (  6- 25) Marist                  8.83      4.17                      
 31 03-14-2024 Neutral L *   3.67  57  80    1 206 ( 18- 12) Siena                 -14.54     -8.46                      
      Averages              18.21  54.5 58.5

Best game:   33.85 = 15 point win over Manhattan
Worst game:  -6.28 = 47 point loss to George Mason
Team stdev:  10.94